Uninvited guest..... (Hurricane Irma)

If you are in the path, are you staying or leaving?

  • Staying - I got dis....

    Votes: 11 45.8%

  • Leaving - Peace, I'm out.

    Votes: 10 41.7%

  • Hiding in my storm bunker under the carrot patch

    Votes: 3 12.5%
  • Total voters
    24
#81
Might want to review this latest shift west, includes closest pass to certain cities with forecast winds on the page:
Navy/NRL TC_PAGES Page

In case the link updates before you get there, here's the 17:36 CST screen shot:
NAVpath 1738CST Screen.jpg
 
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#83
CPA column = Closest Pass To,
NM column = (nautical) miles,
DTG = time of pass, 11/05Z in your case.
11/05Z > Sept 11 at 05 Z time = 1 AM your time( Universal Coordinated Time and Zulu Time )

Current chart says:
Passes within 5 miles from Orlando
Winds not quite between the 10/18Z(115/140kts) and the 11/18Z speeds(80/100kts).

Best case NOW when it gets to you, use the lower one: 80kts constant wind/100kts gusts(92 mph constant/115 mph gusts),

Mid case NOW when it gets to you 97.5/120 kts (112 mph constant/ 138 mph gusts)

Worst case NOW(assumes not much slower from the 10/18Z to your 11/18Z time) when it gets to you, we use the 10/18Z speeds which are 115/140knots = 132 mph constant/161 gusts.

Convert knots to mph for windspeed here: convert knots to mph - Google Search
OR here Speed Converter
 
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#88
two fingers said:
If my power gets knocked out, I would rather it happen from a hurricane at 80 degrees than a blizzard at no degrees....or even less than no degrees.
Click to expand...

Bah. Stick your food and beer in the garage to keep it cold and crank up the generator and/or fireplace.

I'll take snow/cold any day over heat & humidity.
 
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#91
My county in Tampa just put out an evacuation notice for citizens living in certain parts of it. My zone is a couple notches later, so we will see if they put one out for my area later.
 
#92
jmattbassplaya said:
My county in Tampa just put out an evacuation notice for citizens living in certain parts of it. My zone is a couple notches later, so we will see if they put one out for my area later.
Click to expand...

Seems it weakened a little bit. Here's hoping..... Still gonna be a hard hit.

Also, looks like your evacuation spot is still in the path too. But hopefully it will be a lot weaker by then.

I hate it for the folks more West. But it seems we'll all be drinking lots of milk and bottled water.....and eating lots of toast.....here in Eastern NC. Milk Toast anyone? :vomit:
milktoast.jpg

cone.jpg
 
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#93
If it takes that path, there's going to be a lot of wind damage in Florida. We had a winter storm* in March where the winds hit gusts of 100MPH+ and it did quite a bit of damage and that's not even sustained wind speed (that was around 75MPH). We are accustomed to strong winds and have plenty of days a year when the wind hits 60MPH+. Batten down the hatches if you're in the path and stay safe!

*It started with heavy snow, which turned to heavy rain. Then the temperature rapidly dropped from about 50F to 10F as the wind came up. We lost power for 18 hours. Some people were out for 3 days. Glad we have a propane fireplace. :D
I work for an aerospace company at the airport and one of our hangars was damaged so badly that it will have to be torn down and rebuilt. You can see the cracks in the beams from the floor.
 
#94
two fingers said:
Seems it weakened a little bit. Here's hoping..... Still gonna be a hard hit.

Also, looks like your evacuation spot is still in the path too. But hopefully it will be a lot weaker by then.

I hate it for the folks more West. But it seems we'll all be drinking lots of milk and bottled water.....and eating lots of toast.....here in Eastern NC. Milk Toast anyone? :vomit:
View attachment 2748065
View attachment 2748064
Click to expand...

Milk Toast! Now I know what to do with all this bread and milk! I am going to try making some this weekend. I must practice this recipe before Irma arrives.
 
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#96
Gaolee said:
Yes, we could use the rain. 50" would cause the mud slides from hell, especially with everything burned off like it is. Some of those fires are in such rugged terrain that the only way to deal with them is by aircraft of just let them burn. We have had record-breaking dry spells here this summer. I think the world's water vapor all migrated to the Atlantic.
Click to expand...

Yep, and if we get another ice storm like we had in the Columbia Gorge last January, I-84 could easily be closed down for months from those slides, plus the inevitably much more severe tree fall given all the partially torched acreage. But at least I'm still in my house, well fed, and able to go out and play a little music to help a few people forget about the bigger picture for a few hours. I've done the hurricane evacuation drill a few times, but never on the sort of scale folks in Fla. or Cape Hatteras experience every few years. Stay safe everybody.
 
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#97
I went through the hurricane drill only once down in florida in the 80's. I have never seen anything like it, they take this stuff very seriously , as they should. We were fortunate that hurricane veered off into the Atlantic and we only got what amounted to a tropical storm from it. Irma looks to be a very serious storm , with any luck it will weaken some before making landfall in Florida
 
#99
Just spoke to my brother-in-law who lives in Miami. He has decided to stick it out. He's a Technical Director with NBC, and even though the entire crew has been evacuated to New York, he's going to stay.

I don't want to sound like Dr. Doomangloomer, but I got the feeling that was the last time I'm going to hear from him.

I hope to hell I'm wrong.
 
#100
the problem with that part of the country is that you cant go underground, and maybe you don't want to with that much water but you sure as hell better have at least one strong wall and maybe a couple between you and that thing outside hurling debris like a speeding bullet. Its not the wind that will kill ya its all the stuff in the wind.
 
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