Will tariffs cause MIM Fenders, Squiers and other imports to become more expensive. 25% or more

There is no benevolence in business. Just in raw materials, Mesa Subway cabs are made with Italian poplar plywood and Italian drivers. The increase from importing those materials under a blanket tariff will be passed directly on to the consumer, even when manufactured here.
 
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Here's what I can tell you from the industry that I work in every single day (foodservice design, so I deal with commercial kitchen equipment):
During the last Trump presidency he levied a 30% tariff on imported stainless steel. This made all equipment using foreign stainless steel raise their prices roughly 30% to pass that 30% tariff on to the consumer.
All of the US stainless steel manufacturers raised their prices 20%, because that was still cheaper than foreign stainless and it let them give themselves a 20% raise without being the highest price on the market. So all of the manufacturers that exclusively used US stainless also had to raise their prices to pass that 20% increase on to the consumer as well.
So what does commercial kitchen equipment have to do with any of this? In the end, NOTHING was cheaper and EVERYTHING was more expensive, across the board. The impact of that stainless steel tariff has not gone away to this day, because nothing ever gets cheaper. Once the price goes up, it stays there. Over the 4 years spanning from the point in which Trump levied that tariff on stainless steel through the COVID years (which, granted, were a totally different issue), prices for commercial kitchen equipment went up 20%-30% every 6 months until roughly the 2nd quarter of 2023 when they finally stabilized at the current prices.
I would expect that any tariffs that impact the musical instrument industry at all will impact THE ENTIRE industry. Because even if there is a builder out there using 100% US sourced parts, those parts suppliers will also raise their prices just under the tariff increases, because hey, a free raise is always a good thing for the bottom line, right? So anyone who thinks that a tariff will ONLY affect builders using imported parts is insane. It will impact the entire industry.
I agree with everything you've written here. If the price of a "cheap" foreign guitar for from $300 to $400, then of course top of the line US guitars will go from $2000 to $2500. Even if the cost of producing them hasn't changed, the perception of them as superior instruments means that they need to be more expensive. And as you pointed out, US manufacturers understand that foreign competitors are now less competitive, so there's no reason not to charge more.

Even if you aren't 100% on board with everything I wrote above, I think we can all agree that our spouses should recognize the extraordinary circumstances we are under. I really should be buying all the basses I've been dreaming about over the next few months. I know the kids will be disappointed about Christmas, but the coming bass guitar price spike is something we need to address now. ;)
 
Yep. I gots mine!:smug:
I'll be out of GAS for awhile.
“I gots mine, (dig it!), he gots his!”

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😊
 
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Even if you aren't 100% on board with everything I wrote above, I think we can all agree that our spouses should recognize the extraordinary circumstances we are under. I really should be buying all the basses I've been dreaming about over the next few months. I know the kids will be disappointed about Christmas, but the coming bass guitar price spike is something we need to address now. ;)
In sync with something someone mentioned up above regarding home building, my SO & I are planning on a very major addition/remodeling job, probably this coming year; depending on the cost of materials we may have to bail on it as even right now the cost will be enormous enough.
 
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I think it's going to be interesting to walk the floors at NAMM this winter and see what the outlook is.

Should these concerns be realized, we'll have to see if pre-tarriff goods sell at the current prices until the stock runs out, or if they raise prices on those goods.


Most any manufactured product has in many cases parts sourced from around the world from many vendors. VW AG quotes current Golfs source parts from 2600 vendors to complete each Golf. Will content be subject to this, or only finished products?

Time will tell.